2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook
Opportunities on the horizon: Investing through a slowing economy
As we describe in this 2023 Mid-Year Outlook, the economic policy “hangover” from the Covid-19 shock, government intervention and subsequent rate hikes still reverberate across the world economy.
CIO Perspectives ꟾ Week of September 4th, 2023
The World Economy - and our Portfolios - are Changing
This week, Head of APAC Investment Strategy Ken Peng looks at US economic resilience in contrast to how China is doing. Ken also breaks down why Citi's Global Investment Committee made the decision to reallocate back to the US, and how investors can apply the views to their portfolios.
Watch Now >
CIO Strategy Bulletin ꟾ Week of September 25th, 2023 By Citi Wealth Insights
The Value of Seeking Growth in Global Markets
Valuations for the largest growth leaders have skyrocketed, but there are several potential opportunities to invest in companies that may grow earnings quickly as the US and global economies expand into 2025. We discuss where to seek that growth at reasonable valuations herein.
2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook
Opportunities on the horizon: Investing through a slowing economy
As we describe in this 2023 Mid-Year Outlook, the economic policy “hangover” from the Covid-19 shock, government intervention and subsequent rate hikes still reverberate across the world economy.
Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant September 2023
Recovery Without the “V”
We see an environment of gradually improving capital returns in 2024 as labor markets slow and “rolling recessions” play out. While this should constrain global growth in 2024, it should also lead to a stronger world economy in 2025. Investors remain confused by this ambiguous environment we call “recovery without the V”.
World Investment Navigator– August 2023
- CGWI Real GDP and S&P 500 EPS forecasts and changes.
- The US and China: staying aloft vs staying depressed.
- Comparisons to Japan do not tell us everything about China.
- We always believed “no recession” views would make US equities more vulnerable, not less.
- History suggests 2024 will be a Fed easing year.
- On the passive side, equal-weighted S&P is a more diversified way to play US.
- Long-term nominal Treasury yields are breaking through their October 2022 highs, taking yields back to GFC levels.
- Yields globally are moving higher (except China).
- USD: Positioning has moved to a slight short.
- Impact of China on European equity sectors.
- Is China having a Lehman moment?
- When will the real estate sector recover?
- What do you think is the second most crowded trade?
Citi Wealth Insights
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Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant September 2023
Recovery Without the “V”
We see an environment of gradually improving capital returns in 2024 as labor markets slow and “rolling recessions” play out. While this should constrain global growth in 2024, it should also lead to a stronger world economy in 2025. Investors remain confused by this ambiguous environment we call “recovery without the V”.
Disclaimer
This document is distributed in UAE by Citibank, N.A. UAE. Citibank N.A. UAE is licensed by UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (“SCA”) to undertake the financial activity as Promoter under license number 602003. Citibank N.A. UAE is registered with Central Bank of UAE under license numbers BSD/504/83 for Al Wasl Branch Dubai, 13/184/2019 for Mall of the Emirates Branch Dubai, BSD/2819/9 for Sharjah Branch, and BSD/692/83 for Abu Dhabi Branch.
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