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Mid-Year Outlook 2024

Mid-Year Outlook 2024

Renewed Growth, New Challenges: Building resilient portfolios

With rates higher for a little longer, geopolitical concerns, and volatile inflation data. How can investors build resilient portfolios in such a challenging time for markets?

In our Mid-Year Outlook 2024, Citi continues to advocate for a resilient balanced portfolio and sees opportunities and reasons to invest broadly across markets. Read more about our key observations.

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CIO Perspectives

CIO Perspectives ꟾ Week of 16 July 2024

What's Next For Japan?

Japanese equities have traded sideways recently after a 21% surge in the first quarter. Investors are wondering if they have missed the train for Japanese equities. Our APAC Head of Investment Strategy, Ken Peng, believes that the next phase of Japan's bull market might have just begun and gives us the key reasons why Japan represents an opportunity to diversify overly concentrated portfolios.

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CIO Strategy Bulletin

CIO Strategy Bulletin ꟾ Week of July 15th, 2024 By Citi Wealth Insights

Labor Market Slowing, Corporate Profits Growing

Since last year, a key feature of our constructive outlook for financial markets is our belief that US corporate profits and labor markets would diverge – with profits rising and job growth slowing. This does not occur regularly. Why would we think now is different? It is because the trend is merely reversing the unusual post-pandemic recovery pattern of weakening profits/strong labor seen in 2022/2023.

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Latest CIO Views

Latest CIO Views

Resigter now to listen to the latest CIO views on Veracast.

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Fx Insights

Weekly FX Focus ꟾ 18th July 2024

AUDNZD – RBNZ’s Dovishness vs RBA’s Hawkishness

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) at its July meeting surprised investors with the most dovish statement since hiking rates in 2021 and left its cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expected to be much more hawkish than the RBNZ to the end of 2025, AUD seems to be favored in this currency pairing

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FX Perspectives

FX Perspectives | May 10th, 2024

Can The Unexpected Strength In DXY Continue?

In our April FX podcast, Our Head of FX Strategy presented a case for the broad-based DXY index to eventually fall to the lower end of its 102-104 range in the second quarter. However, things have played out different since, with the index now in a higher 104-107 range. What are the factors at play and will this continue?

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Mid-Year Outlook 2024
Mid-Year Outlook 2024

Mid-Year Outlook 2024

Renewed Growth, New Challenges: Building resilient portfolios

With rates higher for a little longer, geopolitical concerns, and volatile inflation data. How can investors build resilient portfolios in such a challenging time for markets?

In our Mid-Year Outlook 2024, Citi continues to advocate for a resilient balanced portfolio and sees opportunities and reasons to invest broadly across markets. Read more about our key observations.

Read The Full Report >
Read The Summary Report >

Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant

Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant | May 24, 2024

World Economy Recuperating, US Labor Market Slowing: Forecast Update

Once again, we are edging up forecasts for world economic growth in 2024 and 2025. While US employment growth is slowing, corporate profits are growing more strongly. This is simply the reversal of the 2022-2023 trend when the post-pandemic labor market surged and many industries suffered a mild contraction.

Inflation is decelerating from a pace still above the Fed’s long-term target. However, we expect the incipient slowdown in the labor market to garner greater attention from the Fed looking forward. In 10 of the past 11 Fed easing cycles since 1980, the Fed has begun rate cuts with employment growth positive, near +150K per month.

Read more >
Sustainable Investing Spotlight

Sustainable Investing Spotlight

Planting for tomorrow: Weaving sustainability into the path toward food security

Rising global food insecurity has come under the spotlight following a series of geopolitical shocks, including the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Food security concerns have also been compounded by the effects of a shifting climate and increasing evidence of damage caused by accelerating biodiversity loss and water scarcity. Amid concerns about immediate and long-term food security, agriculture policies are caught in the crossfire between short-term food security and sustainability.

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World Investment Navigator

World Investment Navigator – January 2024

  • October 2023 price is gone, the opportunity remains.
  • Markets still price in too high a probability of a March rate cut, in our view. Still, 150 bps of cuts expected in 12 months is not extreme.
  • What has happened since OL24: Junk rally amid dovish Fed turn.
  • How’s the broadening trade going?
  • Health Care: the anti-obesity craze won’t stymie innovation.
  • Yield curve is now very flat, and positively sloped between intermediate-to-long dated maturities.
  • Intermediate IG still offer attractive “real” yields vs expected inflation with yields of about 5.15% for duration of about 4 years.
  • USD: The recent squeeze up in DXY may partly be due to a rise in risk aversion related to the Middle East.
  • Presidential Year Stock Market Returns.
  • Market-cap vs Equal-weighted S&P 500 Over Time.
  • China’s equity performance is uncorrelated with its GDP growth, while the property market has acted as a key source of wealth generation since 1997.
  • Japan – Profitability, Investor Inflows, Currency Kicker.

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Middle East Strategy

Middle East Strategy ꟾ May 2024

Commodities in Focus: Tracking Trends in Oil, Gold and Copper

Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly between Israel and Iran, have put the spotlight on the inherent risks to global energy supplies. However, while these events underscore a less secure environment, the actual impact on global markets and economies may be less negative than initially feared.

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Market Insights at Your Fingertips

Citi Wealth Insights

Market Insights at Your Fingertips

Stay updated on key global market developments and Citi's house views on the latest headlines. Find out what's trending through our comprehensive market research reports and in-depth thematic articles.

**Please note that you will be leaving the Citi UAE website.

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Global Strategy
Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant

Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant | May 24, 2024

World Economy Recuperating, US Labor Market Slowing: Forecast Update

Once again, we are edging up forecasts for world economic growth in 2024 and 2025. While US employment growth is slowing, corporate profits are growing more strongly. This is simply the reversal of the 2022-2023 trend when the post-pandemic labor market surged and many industries suffered a mild contraction.

Inflation is decelerating from a pace still above the Fed’s long-term target. However, we expect the incipient slowdown in the labor market to garner greater attention from the Fed looking forward. In 10 of the past 11 Fed easing cycles since 1980, the Fed has begun rate cuts with employment growth positive, near +150K per month.

Read more >
Sustainable Investing Spotlight

Sustainable Investing Spotlight

Planting for tomorrow: Weaving sustainability into the path toward food security

Rising global food insecurity has come under the spotlight following a series of geopolitical shocks, including the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Food security concerns have also been compounded by the effects of a shifting climate and increasing evidence of damage caused by accelerating biodiversity loss and water scarcity. Amid concerns about immediate and long-term food security, agriculture policies are caught in the crossfire between short-term food security and sustainability.

Read more >

Disclaimer

This document is distributed in UAE by Citibank, N.A. UAE. Citibank N.A. UAE is licensed by UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (“SCA”) to undertake the financial activity as Promoter under license number 602003. Citibank N.A. UAE is registered with Central Bank of UAE under license numbers BSD/504/83 for Al Wasl Branch Dubai, 13/184/2019 for Mall of the Emirates Branch Dubai, BSD/2819/9 for Sharjah Branch, and BSD/692/83 for Abu Dhabi Branch.

This is not an official statement of Citigroup Inc. and may not reflect all of your investments with or made through Citibank. For an accurate record of your accounts and transactions, please consult your official statement. Before making any investment, each investor must obtain the investment offering materials, which include a description of the risks, fees and expenses and the performance history, if any, which may be considered in connection with making an investment decision. Each investor should carefully consider the risks associated with the investment and make a determination based upon the investor’s own particular circumstances, that the investment is consistent with the investor’s investment objectives. At any time, Citigroup companies may compensate affiliates and their representatives for providing products and services to clients.

This forecast is an estimate/ example only. It is not a reliable guide to the future performance of this investment. It is not indicative, and it should not be construed as likely returns. There are potential risks of a loss as well.

Warning: Past performance is not a reliable guide to future performance.

Warning: These figures are estimates / examples only. They are not a reliable guide to the future performance of this investment.