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Market Insights

Citi UAE's view on the financial market and the world of wealth today and tomorrow.

2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook

2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook

Opportunities on the horizon: Investing through a slowing economy

As we describe in this 2023 Mid-Year Outlook, the economic policy “hangover” from the Covid-19 shock, government intervention and subsequent rate hikes still reverberate across the world economy.

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2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook

2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook

Hear from our CIO

Holding huge cash balances have been shown to be detrimental to long term portfolio returns. As we see expect an economic recovery within 2024, markets will anticipate that recovery well before any recession or slowdown is over.

Currencies seeking returns

2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook

Currencies seeking returns

Now, we see the USD as having peeked. This turning point creates a series of potential opportunities that are reflected in our updated Strategic Return Estimates for non-US assets.

AI is the next chapter of digitization

2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook

AI is the next chapter of digitization

The expected growth in AI suggests significant investment opportunities for companies that facilitate its infrastructure, such as hardware manufacturers and cloud computing vendors.

2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook

2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook

OPEC’s gift to energy producers

The players leading the charge include major traditional energy companies and energy producing nations that see the green transition as inevitable and profitable. Capital scarcity favors leading firms with strong capital positions.

Global Strategy
Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant November 2023

Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant November 2023

Three Distinct Phases on Path to Stronger Outlook

We would use “three phases” as the likely context for the world financial market outlook.

  • In 2020-2021, both equity and bond markets saw strong, stimulus-induced returns despite severe economic weakness and building inflation pressure.
  • In 2022-2023, markets reset lower in value, depressed by policy tightening.
  • Lower inflation should allow for a more normal functioning of the world economy and markets in 2024-2025. This points to higher returns after two “payback years”.
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This document is distributed in UAE by Citibank, N.A. UAE. Citibank N.A. UAE is licensed by UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (“SCA”) to undertake the financial activity as Promoter under license number 602003. Citibank N.A. UAE is registered with Central Bank of UAE under license numbers BSD/504/83 for Al Wasl Branch Dubai, 13/184/2019 for Mall of the Emirates Branch Dubai, BSD/2819/9 for Sharjah Branch, and BSD/692/83 for Abu Dhabi Branch.

This is not an official statement of Citigroup Inc. and may not reflect all of your investments with or made through Citibank. For an accurate record of your accounts and transactions, please consult your official statement. Before making any investment, each investor must obtain the investment offering materials, which include a description of the risks, fees and expenses and the performance history, if any, which may be considered in connection with making an investment decision. Each investor should carefully consider the risks associated with the investment and make a determination based upon the investor’s own particular circumstances, that the investment is consistent with the investor’s investment objectives. At any time, Citigroup companies may compensate affiliates and their representatives for providing products and services to clients.

This forecast is an estimate/ example only. It is not a reliable guide to the future performance of this investment. It is not indicative, and it should not be construed as likely returns. There are potential risks of a loss as well.

Warning: Past performance is not a reliable guide to future performance.

Warning: These figures are estimates / examples only. They are not a reliable guide to the future performance of this investment.